自民党総裁選挙の
注目の
論戦テーマです。
These are the key debate topics in the LDP presidential election.
物価高対策 消費減税
政策面では、長引く物価高への対応が大きな焦点となります。
Measures against rising prices and consumption tax reduction policies: Addressing the prolonged rise in prices is a major focus in terms of policy.
先の参議院選挙では現金給付や減税など物価高対策が大きな争点となりましたが、石破総理大臣の続投をめぐる自民党内の混乱も影響して、その後、議論が停滞しています。
In the recent House of Councillors election, measures to counter rising prices such as cash handouts and tax cuts became major issues, but due to the turmoil within the Liberal Democratic Party over Prime Minister Ishibas continuation in office, discussions have since stalled.
9月5日に石破総理大臣は、秋に経済対策を策定する考えを示しましたが、辞任の意向を表明したことから具体的な検討は進んでいません。
On September 5th, Prime Minister Ishiba indicated plans to formulate economic measures in the fall, but since he expressed his intention to resign, concrete discussions have not progressed.
総裁選挙では、参議院選挙で自民・公明両党が公約に盛り込んだ国民1人あたり2万円の現金給付の是非に加え、多くの野党が主張する消費税率の引き下げのほか、所得に応じて給付や所得税の控除を行う「給付付き税額控除」や所得税の減税、社会保険料の引き下げなどへの考え方も問われる見通しです。
In the presidential election, in addition to the pros and cons of the 20,000 yen cash payout per person, which the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito have included in their campaign pledges for the House of Councillors election, opinions will likely be sought on issues such as the reduction of the consumption tax rate advocated by many opposition parties, the introduction of tax credits with benefits and income tax reductions based on income, as well as the lowering of social insurance premiums.
野党との連携
自民党は、去年の衆議院選挙や先の参議院選挙の結果、衆参ともに少数与党となり、政権運営には野党との連携が欠かせなくなっています。
Cooperation with opposition parties: As a result of last years House of Representatives election and the recent House of Councillors election, the Liberal Democratic Party has become a minority ruling party in both houses, making cooperation with opposition parties essential for governing.
このため、石破政権が進めてきたように政策ごとに野党の協力を得ていくのか、それとも">それとも現在の自民・公明両党による連立の枠組みを拡大するのか、野党との連携のあり方が大きな論点となる見通しです。
For this reason, a major point of discussion is expected to be whether, as the Ishiba administration has done, cooperation with opposition parties will be sought on a policy-by-policy basis, or whether the current coalition framework between the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito will be expanded.
このうち、連立の枠組みの拡大をめぐって、自民党内では、新たな連立の相手として日本維新の会や国民民主党の名前が挙がっているほか、立憲民主党との「大連立」を支持する意見も一部で出ています。
Of these, regarding the expansion of the coalition framework, within the Liberal Democratic Party, names such as Nippon Ishin Japan Innovation Party and the Democratic Party for the People have been mentioned as potential new coalition partners, and there are also some opinions supporting a grand coalition with the Constitutional Democratic Party.
どのような政策を通じて、どの政党と、どのような連携を目指すのか、活発な論戦が交わされる見通しです。
Through what kinds of policies, with which political parties, and what kind of cooperation they aim for—active debates are expected to take place.
5人の候補者と野党幹部らとの「関係の近さ」も注目される要素の一つになりそうです。
The closeness of relationships between the five candidates and opposition party executives also seems likely to become one of the points of interest.
自民党の再生
自民党は参議院選挙の敗北を受けて「解党的出直しに取り組む」などとした総括をまとめました。
The Liberal Democratic Partys Revival The Liberal Democratic Party has compiled a summary stating that, following its defeat in the House of Councillors election, it will work on a complete party overhaul.
総括で「不信の底流になっている」と指摘した政治とカネをめぐる問題への対応が引き続き、問われるのに加え、保守層の支持離れや、無党派層からの支持の獲得、それに多くの派閥が解散した中での若手議員の育成といった課題にどう対応していくかなどが議論される見通しです。
In summary, in addition to the ongoing need to address issues surrounding politics and money—which were pointed out as being at the root of public distrust—there are expected to be discussions on how to deal with challenges such as the loss of support from conservative groups, gaining support from independents, and fostering young lawmakers in the context of many factions having dissolved.
解散戦略
石破総理大臣は、去年の総裁選挙で勝利したあと、総理大臣に就任して8日後に衆議院を解散しました。
Dissolution strategy: Prime Minister Ishiba dissolved the House of Representatives eight days after becoming Prime Minister, following his victory in last years party leadership election.
自民党内では、新総裁が総理大臣に選出されれば、内閣支持率の動向しだいでは、早いタイミングで衆議院の解散に踏み切るのではないかという見方も出ています。
Within the Liberal Democratic Party, some believe that if the new party president is elected as prime minister, the House of Representatives may be dissolved at an early stage depending on the trends in the cabinet approval rating.
また、一部の野党と連立を組むことになれば、国民に信を問う必要があるという意見もあります。
If a coalition is formed with some opposition parties, there is also an opinion that it would be necessary to seek a mandate from the people.
一方で、党の「顔」を変えただけでは、失われた信頼は回復できないという指摘や、物価高をはじめとする政策課題でまず結果を出す必要があるという意見も出ています。
On the other hand, some point out that simply changing the face of the party will not restore lost trust, and there are also opinions that it is first necessary to deliver results on policy issues such as rising prices.
衆議院の解散・総選挙の時期をどう考えるのかも注目されるテーマになりそうです。
How the timing of the dissolution of the House of Representatives and the general election will be considered is also likely to become a topic of interest.
その他の政策課題
このほか、与野党の間で結論が先送りされている企業・団体献金の扱いや、夫婦が希望すれば結婚前の姓を名乗れる「選択的夫婦別姓」制度への考え方、ガソリン税の暫定税率廃止の時期や不足する財源の扱いなども争点となる見通しです。
Other Policy Issues In addition, issues such as how to handle corporate and organizational donations—which remain unresolved between the ruling and opposition parties—the stance on the “optional separate surname system” that would allow married couples to keep their pre-marriage surnames if they wish, as well as the timing of abolishing the provisional gasoline tax rate and how to address the resulting revenue shortfall, are also expected to be points of contention.
また、トランプ政権による関税措置への対応をはじめとする日米関係や日本周辺での軍事活動を活発化させる中国への対応、日韓関係のさらなる強化、北朝鮮による拉致問題やウクライナ支援、中東情勢への対応など、外交戦略も焦点になりそうです。
Furthermore, diplomatic strategy is also likely to be a focal point, including responses to the Trump administrations tariff measures in U.S.-Japan relations, dealing with Chinas increasing military activities around Japan, further strengthening Japan-South Korea relations, addressing the issue of abductions by North Korea, supporting Ukraine, and responding to the situation in the Middle East.
さらに、コメの安定供給に向けて増産にかじを切った農政改革、少子高齢化の進展に伴って増え続ける社会保障費への対応も議論になるとみられます。
Furthermore, discussions are also expected on agricultural policy reforms that have shifted toward increasing rice production to ensure a stable supply, as well as on how to address the rising social security costs due to the ongoing decline in birthrates and the aging population.