明日あす米べいロ首脳しゅのう会談かいだん 各国かっこくの専門家せんもんかはどう見みる？【詳くわしく】

U.S. President Trump and Russian President Putin will hold their first in-person summit since the start of the invasion of Ukraine on the 16th, Japan time.

President Trump emphasized on the 14th that, depending on the outcome of the meeting, he would like to hold a second meeting involving Ukrainian President Zelensky as well. The focus will be on whether certain progress can be made toward a ceasefire.

The summit meeting between President Trump and President Putin is scheduled to be held on the 15th at a U.S. military base in Anchorage, the largest city in Alaska.

The upcoming in-person U.S.-Russia summit will be the first since Russias invasion of Ukraine began about three and a half years ago. According to the Russian side, it will take place on the 15th at around 11:30 a.m. local time, which is around 4:30 a.m. on the 16th in Japan time.

And after the two leaders hold talks with only an interpreter present, representatives from both countries delegations will also join. It is said that a joint press conference is scheduled to be held after the meeting.

On the 14th, prior to the talks, President Trump told reporters at the White House, I think it will be a good meeting, but what’s more important is the second one.

President Putin said, There may be talks involving President Zelensky, and perhaps even some European leaders as well.

On top of that, what I want to accomplish this time is to set up the next meeting.

If things dont go well, the talks will end quickly, but if they do, we will achieve peace in the near future, he also said, emphasizing his desire to promptly hold the next round of talks including Ukraine, and mentioned the possibility of holding such talks in Alaska.

On the other hand, on the Russian side, Presidential aide Ushakov stated on the 14th, The resolution of the Ukraine crisis will likely be the main topic, but there will also be broader discussions on ensuring peace and security, and indicated that there will also be discussions on bilateral relations, including in the fields of economy and trade.

Furthermore, Russias state-run TASS news agency reported that Presidential Spokesperson Peskov stated that there are no plans to issue an outcome document following the summit meeting.

In this meeting, the main focus will be on whether the leaders of the US and Russia can make some progress toward a ceasefire after their discussions.

How do you see the talks?

Professor Charles Kupchan of Georgetown University, an American expert specializing in international relations, commented on President Trumps decision to hold a face-to-face US-Russia summit, saying, I would like to commend him for starting a dialogue with President Putin.

For this war to end, direct dialogue between the United States and Russia is necessary.

This war will be concluded not on the battlefield, but at the negotiating table.

He stated, Neither Russia nor Ukraine has the power to achieve victory, and expressed a positive view on the fact that talks are being held.

On the other hand, holding talks before the time is ripe might be a mistake for President Trump.

Because for President Putin, breaking out of his isolated, neglected state and being invited to America to meet face-to-face with the President would represent a major victory.

President Trump should only offer that major victory if he determines that President Putin is prepared to make deals, compromise, and abandon the war, but it’s unclear whether President Putin is moving in that direction,” he said, expressing concern about holding talks when there is still no concrete path toward ending the war.

And regarding the outcome of the talks: The most likely scenario is that almost nothing will change, and the situation after the talks will be almost the same as before.

In other words, it is predicted that President Putin will buy time and make advances on the battlefield, while Ukraine will face shortages of troops and supplies.

On top of that, he stated, If President Trump leaves this meeting without achieving concrete results or progress toward ending the war, he will have to pay some kind of price, pointing out that this meeting also carries risks for President Trump.

British expert: There is a gap between the intentions of both sides. Simon Smith, a member of the British think tank Chatham House Royal Institute of International Affairs and former British ambassador to Ukraine, commented on Americas aims: President Trump probably wants to show that he is having a major impact on ending the conflict in Ukraine.

He said that they are looking for a quick solution, suggesting that President Trump may be in a hurry to resolve the issue.

On the other hand, regarding Russias intentions, President Putin is probably trying to buy time.

He thinks that over time, Ukraine and the countries supporting Ukraine will become weaker.

I dont think he feels the need to get results from this meeting like President Trump did, he pointed out, noting that there is a gap between the intentions of both sides.

He also stated, There is a possibility that President Trump could be persuaded by President Putin that territorial concessions are essential to end the conflict, and added about the outcome of the talks, I dont necessarily think it will lead to any major results.

He expressed a skeptical view, stating that the possibility of a fair and acceptable solution being reached is low, and there is a high likelihood that it will result in unfavorable outcomes for Ukraine and Europe.

People in Ukraine, when interviewed on the streets of Kyiv about the upcoming summit between the leaders of the United States and Russia regarding the situation in Ukraine, expressed hopes that it would lead to an end to the invasion, which has lasted three and a half years as of this month, while others voiced skepticism.

Of these, a man in his 50s said, Im not overly optimistic, but I do have expectations.

Many people lost their loved ones and had their lives shattered.

They said, Everyone is tired and wants the war to end soon.

Additionally, a woman in her 50s who evacuated from the Kherson region, which was invaded by Russia, said, I dont think anyone believes its good to hold talks without Ukraines involvement, but added, I still want to have hope for negotiations.

If something happens, Ill be happy, he said.

On the other hand, a man in his 50s said, Its wrong that our president cant participate in the summit meeting.

It is not diplomatic to reach any agreement about Ukraine without Ukraine, he said, expressing skepticism by adding, Since previous talks and agreements have led to nothing, nothing special is likely to happen this time either.

According to the Institute for the Study of War, an American think tank that continues to analyze the situation in Ukraine, the Russian military has deployed troops not only in the Luhansk and Donetsk regions of eastern Ukraine and the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions in the south, which it has unilaterally declared annexed, but also in the Kharkiv region in the east and the Sumy region in the northeast.

The Russian military is concentrating its shelling on urban areas of Kherson in an attempt to drive out residents, and is also launching fierce attacks aimed at capturing Pokrovsk, a key stronghold in Donetsk Oblast, according to analyses.

Katerina Stepanenko of the Institute for the Study of War said, The most critical situation is in the Pokrovsk area, and Russian forces have also entered Pokrovsk and its surroundings.

They are trying to cut off the Ukrainian militarys supply routes using drones and other means, he said.

On top of that, regarding the aim of the Russian military concentrating its forces in the Pokrovsk area, I think the objective is related to information.

He stated, This is part of Russias efforts to claim an advantage, expressing the view that, ahead of the U.S.-Russia summit, the Russian side is hurrying to expand occupied territories in order to gain the upper hand in negotiations with the United States over the situation in Ukraine.

In addition, as opinions are expected to be exchanged regarding territorial issues at this summit meeting, Mr. Stepanenko stated, The Black Sea coast in southwestern Ukraine and the areas along the Dnipro River are regions that are economically and militarily indispensable for Ukraine.

From a long-term perspective of preventing repeated invasions by Russia, at the very least, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions must be liberated, he said, expressing the view that it is important to regain control of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions, which are partially occupied by Russian forces.

How does Ukraine view the US-Russia summit? Q

What is the current mood in Ukraine ahead of the US-Russia summit?

We are reporting from an underground shelter in preparation for an air raid warning.

It has now been three and a half years since Russia began its invasion.

In Ukraine, many civilians have been caught up in missile and drone attacks, and the death toll has risen to at least over 13,000.

Amidst all this, a summit meeting between the leaders of the United States and Russia has been decided.

There is also talk that discussions about territory may take place without Ukraines involvement, and people are anxiously watching to see what will happen.

However, many people hope that the prolonged invasion will end soon, and there are voices wishing that this meeting will be a step toward its conclusion.

Q

How does Ukraine view a US-Russia summit being held without Ukraines participation?

President Zelensky has been strongly wary of decisions being made about Ukraine’s sovereignty and territory over Ukraine’s head, and has stepped up diplomatic efforts.

President Zelensky has been holding phone talks with world leaders almost every day, strongly insisting that the first priority should be a ceasefire, and that nothing concerning Ukraine should be decided without Ukraine’s involvement.

President Trump, who had previously mentioned a territorial exchange before the meeting, reportedly indicated during the online meeting on the 13th that the US and Russia would not decide on territorial issues, and it is possible that Ukraines efforts had some influence.

However, since Ukraine cannot participate in the meeting, there are concerns that President Trump might be persuaded by President Putin and change his mind.

As Ukraine, the country is strengthening its unity with the international community and preparing for future developments to ensure that the talks do not lead to unfavorable outcomes.

President Trump’s Actions After Taking Office Even before his inauguration as President this January, President Trump of the United States had expressed a strong desire to bring about an early end to the fighting between Russia and Ukraine, claiming that he could “end the war in 24 hours.”

After taking office, he reversed the policies of the previous Biden administration and initiated contact with Russian President Putin, announcing that he held a telephone conversation with President Putin on February 12.

After that, on February 18, for the first time since Russia began its invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the U.S. and Russian foreign ministers held a formal face-to-face meeting.

In the same February, President Trump also expressed a negative view on Ukraine’s bid to join NATO, saying it was “not realistic.” He also criticized Ukrainian President Zelensky, calling him a “dictator without elections,” and made a series of remarks that could be seen as pro-Russian.

At the meeting with President Zelensky held at the White House on February 28, a heated argument broke out, and the signing of the agreement regarding the rights to mineral resources within Ukraine, which had been scheduled, was postponed, leading to a deterioration in relations with Ukraine.

After that, it became clear that the Trump administration had temporarily suspended military aid and the sharing of military intelligence with Ukraine.

In this context, in April, President Trump and President Zelensky met again at the Vatican, coinciding with the funeral of Pope Francis of the Roman Catholic Church.

President Trump praised the meeting, while also expressing disappointment with Russia.

After that, President Trump gradually became increasingly frustrated that Russia continued its attacks on Ukraine and that an end to the fighting was not being achieved.

Last month, I was very disappointed.

President Putin has no intention of agreeing to a ceasefire, and He has been bombarding us with a lot of nonsense.

He always seems pleasant, but in the end, it doesnt mean anything, she complained.

And President Trump announced that he would provide weapons to Ukraine, including the Patriot air defense system, through NATO member countries.

Furthermore, he indicated the idea of imposing secondary tariffs on countries that purchase Russian products if Russia does not agree to a ceasefire, and later announced the policy of setting the deadline for this as the 8th of this month.

On the day of the deadline, President Trump announced in a social media post that he would hold a summit meeting with President Putin in Alaska on the 15th of this month.

The in-person U.S.-Russia summit is the first since former President Biden held one in Geneva, Switzerland in June 2021, and the first since Russias invasion of Ukraine.

President Trump has described this meeting as a meeting to observe Russias response, and has said that he will tell President Putin, We must end the war.

Furthermore, there is enthusiasm for realizing a three-way summit including President Zelensky, but the White House spokesperson clarified on the 12th of this month that President Zelensky will not participate in the summit.

As President Trump, he hopes that this meeting will help break the deadlock and lead to a ceasefire.