専門家 “人との接触8割減でダメージ最小限に” 新型コロナ

Expert “Minimize damage by reducing contact with people by 80%” New Corona

Expert “Minimize damage by reducing contact with people by 80%” New Corona
「緊急事態宣言」に当たって人との接触を8割減らす取り組みについて、根拠となるシミュレーションを行った厚生労働省のクラスター対策班のメンバーで北海道大学の西浦博教授は、「接触を8割減らすことで、対策が長引くことを避け、社会や経済へのダメージを最小限に抑えることができると考えてほしい」と呼びかけています

Professor Hiroshi Nishiura of Hokkaido University, a member of the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare's cluster response group who conducted a simulation to provide evidence of efforts to reduce contact with people in the Declaration of Emergency by 80%, said, By reducing contact by 80%, We hope that you can avoid prolonged measures and minimize damage to society and the economy. ''

Professor Hiroshi Nishiura of Hokkaido University, a member of the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare's cluster response group who conducted a simulation to provide evidence of efforts to reduce contact with people in the Declaration of Emergency by 80%, said, By reducing contact by 80%, We hope that you can avoid prolonged measures and minimize damage to society and the economy. ''
西浦教授は「減らす必要がある接触とは屋内での会話などで、屋外での散歩やジョギングなどの活動はリスクが低いため含んでいない

Professor Nishiura says, Contacts that need to be reduced are conversations indoors, and activities such as outdoor walks and jogging are not included because they are low risk.

Professor Nishiura says, Contacts that need to be reduced are conversations indoors, and activities such as outdoor walks and jogging are not included because they are low risk.
8割を減らすというのは、これまで10人に会っていたとしたら、8人とは会わないようにするということだ

To reduce by 80% means that if you have met 10 people so far, you will not meet 8 people

To reduce by 80% means that if you have met 10 people so far, you will not meet 8 people
特に屋内でのちょっとした会話も含めて接触と考えてほしい

In particular, we want you to consider contact, including even a small conversation indoors.

In particular, we want you to consider contact, including even a small conversation indoors.
ただ、社会機能を維持するためには医療や物流、ライフラインなどに携わる人の接触は減らすことができない

However, in order to maintain social functions, contact with people engaged in medical care, logistics, lifelines, etc. cannot be reduced

However, in order to maintain social functions, contact with people engaged in medical care, logistics, lifelines, etc. cannot be reduced
すでに感染リスクが高いことが分かっている夜の接待飲食の店や飲み会で使う居酒屋、ライブハウスやスポーツジムなどでの接触は、100%に近い形で減らしてもらいたい」と話しました

We want to reduce the number of contacts at night entertainment and drinking establishments, drinking bars, live houses and sports gyms where we know that the risk of infection is already high, as close to 100% as possible. ''

We want to reduce the number of contacts at night entertainment and drinking establishments, drinking bars, live houses and sports gyms where we know that the risk of infection is already high, as close to 100% as possible. ''
そして、「働き方についても、すぐに8割を減らすことができなくても、リモートワークを徹底的に進めるなどして今週中には4割、来週は6割といったように段階的に減らしてほしい

Even if it is not possible to reduce 80% of work styles immediately, we will reduce the number of steps by 40% this week, 60% next week, etc. want

Even if it is not possible to reduce 80% of work styles immediately, we will reduce the number of steps by 40% this week, 60% next week, etc. want
リモートワークが難しい中小企業などでも、分散出勤などの工夫をしてもらいたい

Even small and medium-sized enterprises where remote work is difficult, I would like you to take measures such as distributed work

Even small and medium-sized enterprises where remote work is difficult, I would like you to take measures such as distributed work
一人一人の取り組みでは限界があり、会社を運営する立場の人たちに行動をしてもらい、抜本的に変える必要がある」と話しました

There is a limit to each person's efforts, and it is necessary to have the people who run the company act and take drastic changes. ''

There is a limit to each person's efforts, and it is necessary to have the people who run the company act and take drastic changes. ''
西浦教授によりますと、接触を8割減らすことができれば、2週間ほどで1日の感染者数の数が落ち着きはじめ、さらに2週間たった1か月後には目に見える効果が出てくることが期待できるということです
一方で、接触の減りかたが不十分で、7割や6割程度にとどまると効果が出るまでに2か月や3か月とかなり長い期間がかかってしまうということで、西浦教授は「痛みを伴っても、接触を8割減らすことで、対策が長引くことを避け、社会や経済へのダメージを最小限に抑えることができると考えてほしい」と呼びかけました